Match Info

SERBIA: Prva Liga - Round 17

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: EFBET Stadion (Surdulica)


	Radnik Surdulica		Dubočica

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.5	9.75
	1.27	4.5	11
	1.26	5.08	13.65
	1.25	4.73	13.15	Watch
	1.22	4.5	11
	1.26	4.7	10.7
	1.27	4.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.55)	4.64 ↑ (3.5)	11.46 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
72.4%

Draw
19.6%

Dubočica
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.

Dubočica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dubočica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubočica than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dubočica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radnik Surdulica - Dubočica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Randjelovic S. (G) 37. Abubakar S. 9. Bogdanovic V. 13. Dolmagic D. 66. Gasic M. 4. Hajdarevic H. 3. Marinkovic O. 23. Milic A. 14. Orescanin M. 7. Owusu D. 20. Stojanovic L.	12. Stankovic V. (G) 73. Beronja Z. 14. Bogdanovic V. 7. Djordjevic P. 6. Horike Y. 50. Ilic V. 10. Ljubenovic M. 22. Paunovic L. 9. Ratkovic L. 21. Soumah A. 16. Zivojinovic V.
Substitutes
30. Andjelkovic J. 26. Ilic S. (G) 27. Kadijevic A. 8. Lukovic O. 12. Pavlov E. 24. Stevanovic M. 6. Stojanovic D. 54. Stojanovic M. 18. Tomasevic N.	23. Djordjevic M. 44. Masutani T. 1. Mladenovic M. (G) 15. Momcilovic M. 8. Stojkovic N. 77. Vlajkovic N. 11. Zivkovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Bogdanovic V. ⚽,
5', Zivojinovic V. 🟨,
43', Horike Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Dolmagic D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Prva Liga
16.11.24	Sloven Ruma - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
11.11.24	Trayal Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Radnik Surdulica - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	FAP Priboj - Radnik Surdulica	2:3 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Mladost Novi Sad - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWT
- FK Dubočica
Serbian Prva Liga
20.11.24	Dubočica - Mačva Šabac	2:2 ✺
11.11.24	Dubočica - Smederevo	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Vršac - Dubočica	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Dubočica - Mladost Lučani	0:2 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Sloven Ruma - Dubočica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
11.08.24	Dubočica - Radnik Surdulica	1:1
Club Friendly
13.01.21	Radnik Surdulica - Dubočica	1:1

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