Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Radnik Surdulica		Rad

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.72	3.5	4.33
	1.6	3.7	4.2
	1.57	3.8	4.9
	1.63	4.05	4.96
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.63	3.74	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)	3.71 ↑ (3.3)	4.72 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
56.2%

Draw
24.5%

Rad
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

18.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.

Rad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rad than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radnik Surdulica - Rad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Radnik has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Radnik is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Radnik won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Radnik won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
18.09.20	Vojvodina - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Inđija	0:2 ✺
29.08.20	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
22.08.20	Javor Ivanjica - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Radnik Surdulica - Partizan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Rad Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
20.09.20	Rad - Javor Ivanjica	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Partizan - Rad	3:0 ✺
29.08.20	Rad - Napredak Kruševac	3:1 ✺
23.08.20	Mladost Lučani - Rad	1:0 ✺
16.08.20	Rad - Voždovac	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
01.03.20	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	1:0
21.09.19	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	0:1
20.04.19	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
05.12.18	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	1:0
11.08.18	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	3:1
21.04.18	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	2:1
17.02.18	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	1:1

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