The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rail Club du Kadiogo 55.8%
Draw 25.3%
Salimata et Taséré 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
33.3%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
33.9%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rail Club du Kadiogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rail Club du Kadiogo's performance.
Salimata et Taséré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salimata et Taséré might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rail Club du Kadiogo than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rail Club du Kadiogo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salimata et Taséré than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salimata et Taséré could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ouango J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Ilboudo S. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rail Club du Kadiogo won 1.
Rail Club du Kadiogo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Salitas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rail Club du Kadiogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rail Club du Kadiogo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Rail Club du Kadiogo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Kadiogo
3
0
1
2
2:5
-3
1
16
Salitas
3
0
1
2
3:8
-5
1
Last Results with these Odds
Rail Club du Kadiogo - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.