Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Municipal (Ouagadougou)


	Rail Club du Kadiogo		Sporting Cascades

	1	X	2
	3.69	2.77	2.17	Watch
	3.75	2.69	2.16
	3.66	2.66	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3)	2.71 ↑ (2.66)	2.16 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rail Club du Kadiogo
24.5%

Draw
33.5%

Sporting Cascades
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

33.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

33.8%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rail Club du Kadiogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rail Club du Kadiogo's form might have worsened.

Sporting Cascades has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cascades's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rail Club du Kadiogo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rail Club du Kadiogo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cascades than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cascades, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rail Club du Kadiogo - Sporting Cascades Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Yao A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Rail Club du Kadiogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting Cascades's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sporting Cascades may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sporting Cascades could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rail Club du Kadiogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Rail Club du Kadiogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rail Club du Kadiogo
Burkina Faso Premier League
20.12.25	RC Bobo Dioulasso - Rail Club du Kadiogo	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	AS Douanes - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - AJEB	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWTWW
- Sporting Cascades
Burkina Faso Premier League
23.12.25	Rahimo - Sporting Cascades	2:1 ✺
18.12.25	RDF - Sporting Cascades	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Sporting Cascades - RC Bobo Dioulasso	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sporting Cascades - AS SONABEL	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Vitesse - Sporting Cascades	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
08.02.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Sporting Cascades	1:0

Rail Club du Kadiogo - Sporting Cascades: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide