Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Rain am Lech		Heimstetten

	1	X	2
	6.8	5.2	1.32
	7.55	5.5	1.28
	7.55	5.25	1.29
	6.8	5.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↓ (7.48)	5.29 ↑ (4.99)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rain am Lech
12.7%

Draw
17.3%

Heimstetten
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

18.3%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

17.5%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rain am Lech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Heimstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rain am Lech than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 3)
16', 1 - 0, Kubler S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Celik K. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Achir S. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Woudstra J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 3, Woudstra J. ⚽,
44', 3 - 3, Achir S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
84', 4 - 3, Nocke N. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 4, Cavadias F. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 4, Nocke N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rain am Lech won 2.

Rain am Lech is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Heimstetten is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Heimstetten may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rain am Lech has had a series of home games.

In this match, Heimstetten is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rain am Lech won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rain am Lech won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 2.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV 1896 Rain am Lech
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
29.04.25	Rain am Lech - Grünwald	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Rain am Lech - Landsberg	1:3 ✺
08.04.25	Rain am Lech - Pipinsried	0:4 ✺
04.04.25	Pipinsried - Rain am Lech	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Rain am Lech - Türkspor Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- SV Heimstetten
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
25.04.25	Heimstetten - Kirchanschöring	6:1 ✺
21.04.25	Pipinsried - Heimstetten	6:1 ✺
11.04.25	Heimstetten - Türkspor Augsburg	7:1 ✺
04.04.25	Unterhaching II - Heimstetten	0:6 ✺
29.03.25	Heimstetten - Sonthofen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
05.10.24	Heimstetten - Rain am Lech	5:1
24.02.24	Rain am Lech - Heimstetten	1:0
08.08.23	Heimstetten - Rain am Lech	3:0
German Regionalliga Bayern
17.03.23	Heimstetten - Rain am Lech	2:1
27.08.22	Rain am Lech - Heimstetten	1:0
26.03.22	Rain am Lech - Heimstetten	4:2
31.08.21	Heimstetten - Rain am Lech	3:1

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