Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Raja Casablanca		Monastir

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.2
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.6	3.75	4.5
	1.64	3.65	4.4
	1.63	3.3	5.25
	1.62	3.6	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.86)	3.64 ↑ (3.49)	4.63 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raja Casablanca
55.7%

Draw
24.8%

Monastir
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

19.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raja Casablanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raja Casablanca's performance.

Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monastir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raja Casablanca than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raja Casablanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monastir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	11.5%	3.8%

Raja Casablanca - Monastir Predictions

Users Predictions: Raja Casablanca will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Raja Casablanca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monastir in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monastir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Raja Casablanca have a series of home games.

In this match Raja Casablanca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raja Casablanca
Arab Club Championship Cup
11.01.21	Raja Casablanca - Ismaily	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
05.01.21	Raja Casablanca - Teungueth	0:1 penalties ✺
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
01.01.21	Raja Casablanca - Widad Fez	2:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
26.12.20	Raja Casablanca - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
22.12.20	Teungueth - Raja Casablanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWT
- US Monastir
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.02.21	Slimane - Monastir	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Monastir - Métlaoui	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Monastir - Tataouine	4:0 ✺
27.01.21	Club Africain - Monastir	1:3 ✺
23.01.21	Monastir - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW

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