Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Rakhine United		Thitsar Arman

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.05
	3.55	3.85	1.75
	3.47	4.07	1.79	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.75
	3.66	3.94	1.74	Watch
	3.33	4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	3.86 ↓ (4.23)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rakhine United
26.8%

Draw
23.4%

Thitsar Arman
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

21.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

18.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rakhine United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Thitsar Arman have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rakhine United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rakhine United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thitsar Arman than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thitsar Arman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Rakhine United - Thitsar Arman Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rakhine United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Thitsar Arman will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Thitsar Arman (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Rakhine United (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rakhine United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Thitsar Arman (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation)

Rakhine United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Thitsar Arman's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Rakhine United has had a series of home games.

Thitsar Arman might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Rakhine United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Thitsar Arman	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rakhine United
Myanmar National League
16.01.26	Yarmanya United - Rakhine United	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Rakhine United - Yangon United	1:7 ✺
05.01.26	Rakhine United - Dagon	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Rakhine United - Ayeyawady United	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Rakhine United - Yarmanya United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTW
- Thitsar Arman
Myanmar National League
17.01.26	Shan United - Thitsar Arman	5:2 ✺
11.01.26	Thitsar Arman - Hanthawaddy United	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Ayeyawady United - Thitsar Arman	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Dagon Port - Thitsar Arman	3:3 ✺
24.12.25	Thitsar Arman - Shan United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
20.10.25	Thitsar Arman - Rakhine United	0:3
09.02.25	Thitsar Arman - Rakhine United	1:3
10.08.24	Rakhine United - Thitsar Arman	0:6

Rakhine United - Thitsar Arman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide