Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Raków Częstochowa II		LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.40	2.45
	2.50	3.35	2.33
	2.41	3.60	2.38
	2.17	3.67	2.78	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.35
	2.42	3.70	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.41	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	2.43 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa II
37.5%

Draw
25.5%

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟥,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Raków II has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Goczałkowice-Zdrój is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Raków II won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Raków II won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Goczalkowice Zdroj	11	3	2	6	11:16	-5	11
16	Rakow II	9	2	3	4	12:17	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.08.26	Stal Brzeg - Raków Częstochowa II	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:4 ✺
16.08.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Raków Częstochowa II	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Polkowice - Raków Częstochowa II	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLL
- LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group III
22.08.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Polonia Nysa	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Sparta Katowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Ślęza Wrocław	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Stal Brzeg - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.04.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Raków Częstochowa II	0:0
16.09.23	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0
20.05.23	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Raków Częstochowa II	2:1
15.10.22	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0

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