Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.87	4.1
	1.94	2.85	4.3
	1.94	2.87	5.13
	1.92	2.81	4.72	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	2	2.83	4.38
	1.94	2.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.32)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	4.42 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
47.5%

Draw
31.8%

Real Avilés
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Majadahonda's performance.

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Majadahonda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Majadahonda - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
77', 0 - 2, Santamaria A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Rayo Majadahonda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Avilés is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rayo Majadahonda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	Sant Andreu - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Sant Andreu	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Tenerife B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:4 ✺
27.04.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Real Madrid C - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTWTW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	Real Avilés - Antoniano	2:2 ET ✺
10.05.25	Antoniano - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Numancia - Real Avilés	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Rayo Cantabria - Real Avilés	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWL

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