The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano 51.3%
Draw 25.7%
Santa Teresa 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
24.6%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
15.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Santa Teresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Teresa than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Teresa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rayo Vallecano - Santa Teresa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Santa Teresa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.