Match Info

ENGLAND: PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT LEAGUE

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Reading U21		Colchester United U21

	1	X	2
	1.87	4	2.95
	1.83	4.5	3
	1.94	4.67	3.04
	1.96	4.15	3.1
	1.9	4.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.58)	4.3 ↑ (4.28)	3.02 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading U21
48.3%

Draw
21.3%

Colchester United U21
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

21.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

19.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading U21's form might have worsened.

Colchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colchester United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading U21 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colchester United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Reading U21 - Colchester United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Reading U21 will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Colchester U21 will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester U21: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Reading U21 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colchester U21 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reading U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Reading U21 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Reading U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading U21
English Professional Development League
24.04.23	Reading U21 - Peterborough United U21	2:3 ✺
17.04.23	Wigan Athletic U21 - Reading U21	2:1 ✺
13.04.23	Queens Park Rangers U21 - Reading U21	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Reading U21 - Queens Park Rangers U21	2:1 ✺
04.04.23	Reading U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- Colchester United U21
English Professional Development League
24.04.23	Colchester United U21 - Burnley U21	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Hull City U21 - Colchester United U21	2:3 ✺
04.04.23	Colchester United U21 - Barnsley U21	1:1 ✺
28.03.23	Coventry City U21 - Colchester United U21	3:1 ✺
24.03.23	Colchester United U21 - Watford U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
18.10.22	Colchester United U21 - Reading U21	2:2

Reading U21 - Colchester United U21