Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Real Agro Aversa		Bitonto

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Real Agro Aversa
32.7%

Draw
30%

Bitonto
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

21.4%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Agro Aversa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bitonto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Agro Aversa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bitonto than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bitonto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 9).

Recent matches Real Agro Aversa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bitonto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Agro Aversa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.02.21	Real Agro Aversa - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Puteolana - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Real Agro Aversa - Picerno	1:2
31.01.21	Audace Cerignola - Real Agro Aversa	1:2 ✺
17.01.21	Francavilla - Real Agro Aversa	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTLWW
- US Bitonto
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.02.21	Città di Fasano - Bitonto	1:2 ✺
10.02.21	Bitonto - Puteolana	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Bitonto - Nardo	1:0 ✺
03.02.21	Gravina - Bitonto	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Città di Brindisi - Bitonto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWT

Real Agro Aversa - Bitonto