Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Real Aranjuez		Atlético Pinto

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.43	2.95	2.5
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.66	3.09	2.78
	2.51	3.22	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.63 (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Aranjuez
35.9%

Draw
29.7%

Atlético Pinto
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.4%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético Pinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Aranjuez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Pinto than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Pinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Aranjuez - Atlético Pinto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 7 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 7 (Relegation Group)).

Real Aranjuez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Pinto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Pinto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.11.20	Villaverde San Andrés - Real Aranjuez	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Alcorcón B - Real Aranjuez	5:0 ✺
08.11.20	Real Aranjuez - El Álamo	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Leganés B - Real Aranjuez	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Real Aranjuez - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLT
- Atlético Pinto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.20	Atlético Pinto - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
29.11.20	Móstoles CF - Atlético Pinto	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Pinto - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	El Álamo - Atlético Pinto	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Atlético Pinto - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWLL

Real Aranjuez - Atlético Pinto

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Real Aranjuez - Atlético Pinto Predictions

Preview

Form

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