Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	16:30	Footballclub


	Real Aranjuez		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.15	1.70
	4.23	3.30	1.81
	3.94	3.39	1.86	Watch
	4.15	3.25	1.78
	4.07	3.22	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.35)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Aranjuez
22.1%

Draw
27.6%

Fuenlabrada
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.7%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Aranjuez's form might have worsened.

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuenlabrada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Aranjuez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Aranjuez - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th and 11th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Fuenlabrada for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fuenlabrada	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10
13	Real Aranjuez	8	1	4	3	12:16	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.26	México - Real Aranjuez	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Real Aranjuez - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Real Aranjuez	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Real Aranjuez - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leganés B - Real Aranjuez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTWLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.26	Fuenlabrada - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Parla Escuela - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Fuenlabrada - Siello	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Unión Adarve - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Fuenlabrada - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWTW

Real Aranjuez - Fuenlabrada