Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 4

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday


	Real Ariquemes		Brasiliense

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	3.5	4	1.75
	5.12	3.58	1.46
	4.15	3.42	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (5.05)	3.6 (3.6)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Ariquemes
20.9%

Draw
25%

Brasiliense
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

25.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

24.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ariquemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ariquemes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Real Ariquemes - Brasiliense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Real Ariquemes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brasiliense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Ariquemes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brasiliense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Ariquemes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Ariquemes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ariquemes
Brazilian Serie D
20.05.23	Ceilândia - Real Ariquemes	3:0 ✺
14.05.23	Real Ariquemes - Operário Ltda	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
10.05.23	Real Ariquemes - Ji-Paraná	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.05.23	Anápolis - Real Ariquemes	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
23.04.23	União Cacoalense - Real Ariquemes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLW
- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
13.05.23	Brasiliense - Anápolis	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Operário Ltda - Brasiliense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.04.23	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	2:0 penalties ✺
08.04.23	Brasiliense - Real Brasilia	3:2 ✺
02.04.23	Brasiliense - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.05.21	Brasiliense - Real Ariquemes	3:1
26.05.21	Real Ariquemes - Brasiliense	0:2

Real Ariquemes - Brasiliense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide