Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday


	Real Brasilia		Capital FC

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.36	4.05	6.9
	1.4	4.18	7.57	Watch
	1.38	4.3	7.19
	1.36	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.85)	4.13 ↑ (3.5)	6.86 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Brasilia
64.6%

Draw
22.1%

Capital FC
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

19.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Brasilia's performance.

Capital FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capital FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Brasilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capital FC than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capital FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Brasilia - Capital FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Iporá - Real Brasilia	3:0 ✺
07.07.24	Brasiliense - Real Brasilia	3:1 ✺
30.06.24	Real Brasilia - União Rondonópolis	3:0 ✺
23.06.24	Real Brasilia - Mixto	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Anápolis - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWTL
- Capital FC
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Capital FC - União Rondonópolis	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Anápolis - Capital FC	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Capital FC - Iporá	0:3 ✺
23.06.24	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Capital FC	4:1 ✺
16.06.24	Brasiliense - Capital FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Capital FC - Real Brasilia	2:0

Real Brasilia - Capital FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide