Match Info

BRAZIL: BRASILIENSE - ROUND 7

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Real Brasilia		Santa Maria

	1	X	2
	1.15	5.75	20
	1.14	6	17
	1.15	6.04	11.56
	1.11	6.8	19
	1.14	6	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.55)	6.12 ↑ (4)	16.91 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Brasilia
79.8%

Draw
14.8%

Santa Maria
5.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

20.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Brasilia's performance.

Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Brasilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Brasilia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Maria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Maria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Brasilia is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Brasilia
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Real Brasilia - São Raimundo PR	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
14.02.24	Brasiliense - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Real Brasilia - Ceilandense	4:1 ✺
05.02.24	Samambaia - Real Brasilia	3:0 ✺
28.01.24	Real Brasilia - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- SE Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
18.02.24	Santa Maria - Gama	0:5 ✺
08.02.24	Paranoá - Santa Maria	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ceilândia - Santa Maria	6:0 ✺
28.01.24	Santa Maria - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Ceilandense - Santa Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
18.03.23	Santa Maria - Real Brasilia	0:0
30.03.21	Real Brasilia - Santa Maria	1:1

Real Brasilia - Santa Maria

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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