Match Info

Date: 18 March 2020, Wednesday


	Real Brasilia		Taguatinga EC

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.1
	1.75	3.45	3.8
	1.7	3.53	3.88
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.73	3.82	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (3.98)	4.02 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Brasilia
52.5%

Draw
25.1%

Taguatinga EC
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

14%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Taguatinga EC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Brasilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taguatinga EC than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taguatinga EC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	7.1%	28.6%

Real Brasilia - Taguatinga EC Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Real Brasilia will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Taguatinga EC will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Brasilia: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
08.03.20	Unaí EC - Real Brasilia	1:3 ✺
04.03.20	Real Brasilia - Luziânia	2:2 ✺
01.03.20	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
19.02.20	Ceilandense - Real Brasilia	1:2 ✺
15.02.20	Real Brasilia - Capital CF Ltda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLWT
- Taguatinga EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.03.20	Taguatinga EC - Ceilândia	3:1 ✺
08.03.20	Paranoá - Taguatinga EC	1:3 ✺
05.03.20	Taguatinga EC - Ceilandense	0:0 ✺
29.02.20	Unaí EC - Taguatinga EC	1:2 ✺
20.02.20	Bosque Formosa - Taguatinga EC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWW

Real Brasilia - Taguatinga EC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide