Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Brusaporto

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.80
	2.20	3.20	2.75
	2.3	3.21	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.00	2.85
	2.41	3.34	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	3.17 ↑ (3)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
39.5%

Draw
28.5%

Brusaporto
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Brusaporto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Calepina - Brusaporto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 2.

Performances by Brusaporto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Real Calepina has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:16 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Calepina against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Brusaporto	6	3	0	3	7:8	-1	9
10	Real Calepina	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Calepina - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.09.26	Piacenza - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Scanzorosciate - Real Calepina	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Real Calepina - Pro Palazzolo	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Folgore Caratese - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTTWW
- ASD Brusaporto
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.09.26	Brusaporto - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Milan Futuro - Brusaporto	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Brusaporto - Tritium	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Leon - Brusaporto	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Pro Palazzolo - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:0
14.09.25	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	0:3
Italian Serie D - Group C
09.02.25	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	1:1
13.10.24	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.01.24	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:1
17.09.23	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	2:2
12.02.23	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	0:1

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