Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Real Forte Querceta		Pianese

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.68
	4.68	3.15	1.66
	4.69	3.15	1.66
	4.5	3.4	1.57
	4.8	3.48	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.52)	3.3 ↑ (3.21)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Forte Querceta
19.1%

Draw
26.9%

Pianese
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.6%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.4%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Forte Querceta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Forte Querceta's form might have worsened.

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pianese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Forte Querceta than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Real Forte Querceta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pianese in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Real Forte Querceta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pianese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Forte Querceta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Forte Querceta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Forte Querceta
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.11.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Real Forte Querceta	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Real Forte Querceta - Livorno	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Real Forte Querceta - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Real Forte Querceta - Trestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
29.10.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Pianese	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Pianese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Trestina - Pianese	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Pianese - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Pianese - SanGiovanniValdarno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
28.10.18	Real Forte Querceta - Pianese	0:4

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