Match Info

Champions League Women - Qualification - Third stage - Final

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Klarlund F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Spain	Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.14	9.00	12.50
	1.11	8.2	12.5
	1.13	8.94	14.48
	1.12	8.22	13.58	Watch
	1.11	8.6	13
	1.16	7.68	13.3
	1.11	7.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 (1.13)	8.32 ↑ (8.1)	13.05 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
81.9%

Draw
11.1%

Ajax
7.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.5%

11.2%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Madrid - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frohms M. (G) 19. Navarro E. 14. Mendez M. 22. Andersson B. 3. Levels J. 6. Toletti S. (C) 20. Senss E. 17. Jacinto A. 7. Keukelaar L. 12. Schroder F. 16. Angeldal F.	28. Liefting F. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J. 5. Knol A. 2. Visscher A. 15. Touon E. 8. Spitse S. (C) 6. Noordam N. 21. Thomas K. 19. van Koppen M. 9. Snoeijs K. 4. Kees S.
Substitutes
30. Agueda C. (G) 11. Beerensteyn L. 18. Caicedo L. 29. Campos N. 24. Caruso A. 26. De La Cuerda C. 23. Lakrar M. 47. Rodriguez C. 35. Rubio P. 31. San Martin O. 27. Zouhir Y.	35. Deitelzweig K. 3. Noordermeer D. 32. Otterman J. 31. Rijsewijk J. 10. Smits J. 16. te Brake S. 1. van der Vliet D. (G) 11. Van Egmond B.
Coaches
Quesada P.	Bruil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Levels J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Snoeijs K. ⚽, Touon E. (A),
54', Toletti S. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Schroder F. ⚽,
59', Touon E. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
65', Navarro E. 🟨,
68', Thomas K. ↓, Noordermeer D. ↑,
68', van Hensbergen J. ↓, te Brake S. ↑,
72', Angeldal F. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
72', Navarro E. ↓, Lakrar M. ↑,
83', van Koppen M. ↓, Deitelzweig K. ↑,
84', Deitelzweig K. 🟨,
90', Keukelaar L. ↓, Beerensteyn L. ↑,
90+6', Senss E. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Caicedo L. ⚽, Schroder F. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 2-0.

Real Madrid has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Madrid is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Real Madrid W	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Real Madrid W: 1.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.13 are the expected chance of winning is 80.5%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
30.08.26	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
26.08.26	Ajax - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
16.08.26	Real Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Real Madrid - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- AFC Ajax Women
UEFA Champions League Women
26.08.26	Ajax - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
22.08.26	Ajax - Zwolle	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Utrecht - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	Ajax - Brøndby	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Cup Women
29.05.26	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
26.08.26	Ajax - Real Madrid	0:2

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