Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)


	Real Madrid B		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.61	4.2
	1.77	3.42	4.33	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.2
	1.65	3.72	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	4.29 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid B
53.4%

Draw
25.5%

Villarreal
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Real Madrid B - Villarreal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6)

Real B is Qualified for Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Real B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villarreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Real B is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Real B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Villarreal W	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
14	Real Madrid B W	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid B Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
25.04.26	Barcelona B - Real Madrid B	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Real Madrid B - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Betis - Real Madrid B	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Fundación Albacete - Real Madrid B	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Real Madrid B - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTW
- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
25.04.26	Villarreal - Fundación Albacete	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Cacereño - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villarreal - Tenerife B	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	CE Europa - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
22.11.25	Villarreal - Real Madrid B	1:2
29.03.25	Villarreal - Real Madrid B	0:1
24.11.24	Real Madrid B - Villarreal	3:1

Real Madrid B - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide