Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Real Monterotondo		Fano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.3	2.89	3.09
	2.38	2.88	2.7
	2.42	2.96	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.8)	2.88 ↓ (3.02)	2.85 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Monterotondo
37.5%

Draw
31.1%

Fano
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monterotondo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monterotondo's performance.

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monterotondo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Real Monterotondo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Monterotondo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.12.23	Matese - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Chieti - Real Monterotondo	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Monterotondo - Termoli	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Sora - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Monterotondo - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLLW
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.12.23	Fano - Avezzano	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Fano - Sora	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Roma City - Fano	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
29.11.23	Campobasso - Fano	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.11.23	Fano - Tivoli Calcio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLLL

Real Monterotondo - Fano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide