Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 8

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Real Monterotondo		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.58
	4.72	3.47	1.56
	4.72	3.56	1.56
	4.33	3.6	1.65
	5.15	3.64	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.95)	3.55 ↑ (3.29)	1.59 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Monterotondo
18.8%

Draw
25.1%

Sambenedettese
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.2%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sambenedettese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sambenedettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Monterotondo - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Real Monterotondo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sambenedettese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.10.23	Vigor Senigallia - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Real Monterotondo - Cynthialbalonga	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.10.23	Real Monterotondo - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Atletico Ascoli - Real Monterotondo	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Real Monterotondo - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.10.23	Sambenedettese - United Riccione	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Fano - Sambenedettese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.10.23	Sambenedettese - Fossombrone	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Sambenedettese - Fano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWT

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