Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 23

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Real Oviedo		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3.79	3.96	1.7
	4.11	3.88	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.67
	5.09	3.26	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (7.9)	3.58 ↓ (4.2)	1.7 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
20.9%

Draw
25.5%

Osasuna
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

21.9%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

20.8%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Oviedo - Osasuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Oviedo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Osasuna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Osasuna is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Osasuna will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CA Osasuna W	4	2	2	0	12:5	7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
22.03.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Oviedo - Barcelona B	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	SE AEM - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Real Oviedo - Fundación Albacete	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Osasuna Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
22.03.26	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Osasuna - Fundación Albacete	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
05.03.26	Eibar - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
22.02.26	CE Europa - Osasuna	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
16.11.25	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	3:0
07.05.23	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	2:0
15.01.23	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	1:1
Spanish Segunda Division Women
01.05.22	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	2:0

Real Oviedo - Osasuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide