Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)


	Real Oviedo B		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.05	2.78
	2.55	2.91	2.84	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.63
	2.46	3.24	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.77 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo B
37.3%

Draw
30%

Tudelano
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Real Oviedo B - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Alayeto I. ⚽,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
108', 1 - 1, de la Hera O. ⚽,
112', Bonilla Martinez F. C. 🟨,
113', 2 - 1, de la Hera O. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oviedo B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Oviedo B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo B	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo B - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Tudelano - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Real Oviedo B - Langreo	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Oviedo B - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marino de Luanco - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLT
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Tudelano - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.05.26	SD Logroñés - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Tudelano - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gernika - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tudelano - Alfaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Tudelano - Real Oviedo B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.02.19	Real Oviedo B - Tudelano	2:1
07.10.18	Tudelano - Real Oviedo B	1:3

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