The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Santander 29.3%
Draw 29%
Internacional de Palmira 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
29.2%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
26.9%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Real Santander - Internacional de Palmira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lazaro J. (G) 29. Carrasco J. 37. Delgado J. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 14. Habib 16. Hernandez J. 5. Holguin J. 25. Segura A. 31. Tapia D.
22. Cuesta W. (G) 9. Brochero R. 78. Caicedo M. 19. Gonzalez K. 3. Mejia A. 7. Mosquera J. 18. Mosquera J. 14. Orozco D. 16. Ortiz B. 11. Padilla Kevin 80. Suarez H.
Substitutes
19. Ahumada S. 21. Almeida V. 6. Ariza 8. Garcia J. 43. Hurtado A. 42. Misatt D. 23. Moreno B. 26. Roman B. 7. Rueda Juan
4. Ariza Y. 23. Correa R. 21. Moreno J. 1. Perez A. (G) 31. Popo J. 5. Rodallega J. 17. Rodallega R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Diaz M. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Brochero R. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽,
77', Delgado J. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
77', Habib ↓, Ariza ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 0.
Real Santander has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Inter Palmira is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Inter Palmira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Inter Palmira might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Inter Palmira
11
4
2
5
8:12
-4
14
13
Real Santander
11
2
6
3
13:18
-5
12
Last Results with these Odds
Internacional de Palmira - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.