Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Real Unión		Arucas

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.14	3.06	3.42	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.15	3.26	3.36
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	3.04 ↓ (3.12)	3.33 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión
42.6%

Draw
29.9%

Arucas
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Real Unión - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Real Unión has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arucas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Unión will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Unión won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Real Union Tenerife	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Tenerife
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.02.26	Villa de Santa Brígida - Real Unión	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Real Unión - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Real Unión	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Real Unión - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tenisca - Real Unión	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTWT
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.02.26	Arucas - Tamaraceite	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Herbania - Arucas	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Arucas - Las Palmas C	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Panadería Pulido - Arucas	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Arucas - Telde	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.10.25	Arucas - Real Unión	0:2

Real Unión - Arucas