The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real de São Luiz 52.3%
Draw 24.5%
Náutico FC 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
28.5%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
29.1%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real de São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real de São Luiz's performance.
Náutico FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real de São Luiz than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real de São Luiz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico FC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Real de São Luiz - Náutico FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Real de São Luiz will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Náutico will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real de São Luiz: 40% – 93.4%.
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Preview
Two teams are playing changeable.
Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
Real de São Luiz will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Real de São Luiz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.