Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Azevido (Rebordosa)


	Rebordosa		Beira-Mar

	1	X	2
	1.99	2.95	3.77
	4.65	2.26	2.33	Watch
	2.15	2.84	3.56
	1.92	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.92)	2.81 ↓ (3.2)	3.32 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordosa
36.2%

Draw
34.5%

Beira-Mar
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rebordosa's form might have worsened.

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebordosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beira-Mar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rebordosa - Beira Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟥,
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).

Rebordosa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beira-Mar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Beira-Mar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rebordosa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rebordosa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rebordosa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Anadia - Rebordosa	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Atlético CP - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Rebordosa - Gouveia	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Rebordosa - Leça	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	União Lamas - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWT
- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Beira-Mar - Aparecida	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Resende - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Gouveia - Beira-Mar	4:2 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.08.25	Beira-Mar - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Beira-Mar - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.02.24	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3
01.10.23	Rebordosa - Beira-Mar	0:0
05.02.23	Rebordosa - Beira-Mar	0:0
23.10.22	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3

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