Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday


	Recambios Colón		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.25	1.58
	5.6	3.1	1.55
	5.2	3.4	1.54
	6.35	3.24	1.55
	6.15	3.48	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↑ (4.81)	3.29 ↑ (3.03)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recambios Colón
15.4%

Draw
27.2%

Orihuela
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

29.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

29.1%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orihuela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Recambios Colón - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recambios Colón has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Orihuela is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orihuela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orihuela is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Orihuela to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
10.04.22	Castellon B - Recambios Colón	3:0 ✺
27.03.22	Recambios Colón - Hércules B	1:2 ✺
17.03.22	Acero - Recambios Colón	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Recambios Colón - Torrent	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Villarreal C - Recambios Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.04.22	Orihuela - Hércules B	3:0 ✺
02.04.22	Acero - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Orihuela - Torrent	3:0 ✺
19.03.22	Villarreal C - Orihuela	2:3 ✺
13.03.22	Orihuela - Torrellano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.12.21	Orihuela - Recambios Colón	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Recambios Colón - Orihuela	0:2

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