Match Info

Copa Federacion - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Recreativo Huelva		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.87	2.70
	2.45	2.82	2.75
	2.51	2.67	2.85
	2.57	2.82	2.91	Watch
	2.45	2.6	2.75
	2.5	2.75	2.79
	2.48	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)	2.77 ↓ (3)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
35.8%

Draw
32.2%

Cacereño
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+3%)

Recreativo Huelva - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Martinez Ortiz L. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 2 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 2 - 1, Runy ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Recreativo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Recreativo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Recreativo Huelva - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Cacereño - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.09.26	Recreativo Huelva - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Motril - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.09.26	Atlético Central - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	CD Extremadura - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Recreativo Huelva - Dos Hermanas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLTW
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Cacereño - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cacereño - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.06.23	Recreativo Huelva - Cacereño	1:1 ET
04.06.23	Cacereño - Recreativo Huelva	0:0

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