Match Info

Super League - Round 31

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Red Arrows		Atletico Lusaka

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	9.5
	1.33	4.3	8.6
	1.35	4.4	8.17
	1.33	4.25	8.95
	1.33	4.3	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	4.29 ↓ (4.3)	8.76 ↓ (9.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Arrows
68.4%

Draw
21.2%

Atletico Lusaka
10.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.4%

21.2%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

16%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Arrows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atletico Lusaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Arrows than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Arrows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Lusaka than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Red Arrows - Atletico Lusaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Red Arrows could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Red Arrows is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Red Arrows won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Arrows FC
Zambian Premier League
02.04.25	Mufulira Wanderers - Red Arrows	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Red Arrows - Nchanga Rangers	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Green Eagles - Red Arrows	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Red Arrows - Nkana	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Nkwazi - Red Arrows	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLT
- Atletico Lusaka
Zambian Premier League
22.03.25	Mufulira Wanderers - Atletico Lusaka	3:0 ✺
13.03.25	Atletico Lusaka - Kabwe Warriors	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Nchanga Rangers - Atletico Lusaka	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Atletico Lusaka - Maestro United Zambia	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Green Eagles - Atletico Lusaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
01.12.24	Atletico Lusaka - Red Arrows	0:2

Red Arrows - Atletico Lusaka