Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 6

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TV Brasil


	Red Bull Bragantino		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3.05	3.35	2.11
	2.99	3.31	2.29
	3.02	3.46	2.25	Watch
	3.21	3.36	2.18
	3.05	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (5.61)	3.36 ↓ (3.75)	2.17 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
30.3%

Draw
27.4%

Flamengo
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

24.2%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

24%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Thalya (G) 14. Ana Carla 18. Carol Tavares 15. Debora 19. Gessica 11. Gramaglia P. 32. Lele 5. Ongaro C. 27. Stella (C) 2. Tamires 23. Thayslane	17. Vivi Holzel (G) 22. Barroso A. 11. Cristiane 8. Djeni (C) 7. Fabi Simoes 32. Fernanda 81. Jucinara 28. Ju Ferreira 2. Monalisa 3. Nubia 21. Valeria Cantuario
Substitutes
1. Alice (G) 30. Brenda Pinheiro 28. Catarina F. d. S. C. d. L. 17. de la Serna P. 31. Dos Santos 24. Emelli 6. Gabi Medeiros 7. Isa Rangel 8. Jane 29. Janyele 33. Valverde 10. Vivian	6. Chai 27. Driely 16. Flavia Mota 10. Glaucia 37. Isa Cruz (G) 31. Laysa 13. Leidiane 43. Mariana 9. Vitoria Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Thayslane ⚽,
27', Barroso A. 🟨,
30', Ongaro C. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Thayslane ⚽,
45+3', Cristiane 🟨,
45+4', Debora 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fabi Simoes ↓, Glaucia ↑,
59', Ongaro C. ↓, Brenda Pinheiro ↑,
59', Tamires ↓, Valverde ↑,
65', Djeni ↓, Vitoria Almeida ↑,
65', Monalisa ↓, Laysa ↑,
78', Thayslane ↓, Jane ↑,
80', Jucinara ↓, Chai ↑,
90+2', Ana Carla ↓, Vivian ↑,
90+7', Nubia 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Flamengo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino Women
Brasileiro Women
16.04.25	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Real Brasilia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
26.03.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LLTWT
- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
15.04.25	Flamengo - Palmeiras	2:5 ✺
11.04.25	Sport Recife - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio Women
09.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
15.04.24	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2
03.08.22	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1

Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide