Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Red Lions		Civo United

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.70
	2.25	2.78	3.25
	2.03	2.87	3.67
	2.09	2.91	3.69	Watch
	2.01	2.80	3.60
	2.27	2.83	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Lions
42.6%

Draw
31.9%

Civo United
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Civo United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Lions than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Civo United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Red Lions - Civo United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Recent performances by Red Lions have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Civo United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Civo United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Red Lions could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Red Lions won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Red Lions	15	5	5	5	12:13	-1	20
10	Civo Utd	15	6	2	7	10:14	-4	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Lions FC Zomba
Malawi Premier Division
28.06.26	Silver Strikers - Red Lions	3:0 ✺
21.06.26	Red Lions - Chitipa United	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Karonga United - Red Lions	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Red Lions - Mitundu Baptist	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Big Bullets - Red Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- Civo United
Malawi Premier Division
28.06.26	CRECK Sporting - Civo United	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Civo United - Silver Strikers	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Mitundu Baptist - Civo United	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Civo United - Karonga United	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Chitipa United - Civo United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Malawi Premier Division
16.10.23	Civo United - Red Lions	0:0
24.07.22	Civo United - Red Lions	2:0
15.08.21	Red Lions - Civo United	2:0

Red Lions - Civo United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide