Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Fornelos (Resende)


	Resende		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	2.92
	1.51	3.79	6.26	Watch
	2.42	2.89	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)	3.19 ↑ (2.87)	4.04 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
45.8%

Draw
30.3%

Vila Meã
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

32.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resende's performance.

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Meã might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Meã could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Resende - Vila Meã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Resende may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.09.25	Salgueiros 08 - Resende	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Resende - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Resende - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Anadia - Resende	4:5 ✺
17.08.25	Resende - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 TWLWW
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Vila Meã - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Limianos - Vila Meã	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Meã	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	1:3 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	Vila Meã - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWT

Resende - Vila Meã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide