Match Info

Premiership - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: King Zwelithini Stadium (Durban)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport PSL
Kenya	Gotv
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Richards Bay		Cape Town City

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	3.2
	2.32	2.75	3.5
	2.4	2.72	3.81
	2.39	2.68	3.38	Watch
	2.5	2.62	3.2
	2.4	2.81	3.37	Watch
	2.32	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.25)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	3.42 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richards Bay
38.8%

Draw
34.1%

Cape Town City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

32.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Cape Town City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Richards Bay - Cape Town City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Richards Bay will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Richards Bay will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Otieno I. (G) 5. Allan K. 25. Mcineka S. 72. Mabua T. 3. Ndaba N. 6. Mthethwa T. 17. Gumede T. 27. Bomelo N. 36. Zikhali L. 45. Ntsundwana S. 9. Mbuthuma Y.	16. Keet D. (G) 2. Mkhize T. 14. Fasika I. 25. Gordinho L. 11. Nyama T. 93. Makaringe F. 4. Petrus A. 55. Amato G. 23. Rhodes J. 10. Domingo H. 20. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
2. Gcaba F. 11. Kutumela T. 29. Macuphu M. 16. Magoola S. (G) 13. Mdunge A. 21. Mhlongo L. 35. Ndelu T. 33. Ngema W. 37. Zulu S.	57. Bezuidenhout K. 58. Dondolo S. 24. Francis K. 27. Goedeman T. 12. Mokotjo K. 26. Nodada T. 47. Oliaro L. (G) 8. Serero T. 9. Soukouna A.
Coaches
Gabriel R.	Peral D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Nyama T. 🟨,
25', Ndaba N. ↓, Zulu S. ↑,
33', Mkhize T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Ntsundwana S. ↓, Ngema W. ↑,
65', Domingo H. ↓, Francis K. ↑,
65', Nyama T. ↓, Mokotjo K. ↑,
71', Bomelo N. ↓, Macuphu M. ↑,
72', Makaringe F. ↓, Nodada T. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Gumede T. ⚽, Ngema W. (A),
82', Gonzalez D. ↓, Soukouna A. ↑,
82', Amato G. ↓, Bezuidenhout K. ↑,
83', Zikhali L. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Richards Bay won 1.

Recent matches Richards Bay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cape Town City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Richards Bay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Richards Bay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
04.04.25	AmaZulu - Richards Bay	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Polokwane City - Richards Bay	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Richards Bay - Kaizer Chiefs	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Magesi - Richards Bay	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Richards Bay - Sekhukhune United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWLW
- Cape Town City
South African Premier Soccer League
06.04.25	Cape Town City - Sekhukhune United	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Supersport United - Cape Town City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Cape Town City - Marumo Gallants	0:1 ✺
12.03.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Cape Town City	0:0 ✺
05.03.25	Cape Town City - TS Galaxy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
17.01.25	Cape Town City - Richards Bay	2:1
South African Knockout
02.11.24	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:0 penalties
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.24	Cape Town City - Richards Bay	3:1
29.10.23	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:3
13.05.23	Cape Town City - Richards Bay	2:0
19.10.22	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:0

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