Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 22

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Ried II		Kalsdorf

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.15	1.78
	3.01	4.34	1.82
	3.05	4.59	1.85
	3.1	4.25	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.55)	4.33 ↑ (4.14)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried II
29.3%

Draw
20.9%

Kalsdorf
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

21.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

21.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ried II's form might have worsened.

Kalsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kalsdorf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried II than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ried II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalsdorf than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalsdorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ried II - Kalsdorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried II won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ried II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ried II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kalsdorf	30	15	4	11	59:53	6	49
14	Ried (Am)	30	7	4	19	41:72	-31	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried II
Austrian Regionalliga Central
04.04.26	Ried II - Treibach	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen - Ried II	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Ried II - ASK Voitsberg	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Wolfsberger AC II - Ried II	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	LASK II - Ried II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLTL
- SC Kalsdorf
Austrian Regionalliga Central
01.04.26	Kalsdorf - Gleisdorf	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Kalsdorf - Deutschlandsberger	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen - Kalsdorf	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Kalsdorf - SC Weiz	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	ASK Voitsberg - Kalsdorf	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
12.09.25	Kalsdorf - Ried II	5:3
26.05.23	Ried II - Kalsdorf	1:0
14.10.22	Kalsdorf - Ried II	0:1
03.06.22	Kalsdorf - Ried II	5:1
09.10.20	Kalsdorf - Ried II	3:2

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