Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Romeo Neri (Rimini)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Rimini		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	4.05	3.15	1.9
	4.27	3.15	1.95
	1.24	4.67	19.01	Watch
	4.24	3.1	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (6.26)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	6.18 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimini
39.4%

Draw
38.6%

Forlì
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

25.7%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

25.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rimini's performance.

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-37.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forlì might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rimini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+38.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forlì could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Rimini - Forlì Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rimini (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Rimini (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Forlì will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rimini (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitali L. (G) 98. Lepri T. 4. Bellodi G. (C) 30. De Vitis A. 21. Ferrarini G. 66. Boli J. 41. Asmussen A. 8. Piccoli M. 28. Longobardi G. 7. Capac A. 10. D’Agostini L.	22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 4. Saporetti L. 25. Elia M. 24. Cavallini G. 10. Macri D. 3. Menarini F. 23. De Risio C. 30. Coveri V. 7. Petrelli E. 11. Farinelli N.
Substitutes
20. Fabbri A. 18. Frati A. 24. Mini M. 2. Moray J. 22. Pirini M. (G) 19. Romualdi L. 70. Rubino M.	15. Berti N. 1. Calvani S. (G) 19. Ercolani F. 6. Franzolini A. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 2. Mandrelli N. 9. Manuzzi F. 32. Pellizzari S. 8. Ripani D. 33. Saporetti S. 21. Scorza C. 14. Spinelli A. 16. Valentini F. 12. Veliaj G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Longobardi G. ⚽,
37', Farinelli N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Risio C. ↓, Scorza C. ↑,
46', Petrelli E. ↓, Manuzzi F. ↑,
64', Ferrarini G. ↓, Fabbri A. ↑,
64', Capac A. ↓, Rubino M. ↑,
69', Coveri V. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
70', D’Agostini L. 🟨,
78', De Vitis A. ↓, Mini M. ↑,
85', Manetti G. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
85', Cavallini G. ↓, Ercolani F. ↑,
88', Asmussen A. ↓, Moray J. ↑,
88', D’Agostini L. ↓, Frati A. ↑,
89', Menarini F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 4.

Rimini has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Forlì has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Forlì is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rimini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rimini - Ternana	1:4 ✺
29.08.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Rimini - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.25	Pescara - Rimini	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Forlì - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sambenedettese - Forlì	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Forlì - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Arezzo - Forlì	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Virtus Verona - Forlì	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
12.02.22	Rimini - Forlì	4:1
06.10.21	Forlì - Rimini	0:1
24.02.21	Forlì - Rimini	0:1
04.10.20	Rimini - Forlì	2:0
Club Friendly
08.08.18	Forlì - Rimini	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.01.18	Forlì - Rimini	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
06.04.14	Rimini - Forlì	2:1

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