Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 14

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rincón		Arenas Armilla

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Rincón
39.2%

Draw
29.5%

Arenas Armilla
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Arenas Armilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rincón than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Rincón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.12.23	Rincón - Huétor Vega	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Huétor Tájar - Rincón	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Malaga B - Rincón	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Maracena - Rincón	0:4 ✺
19.11.23	Rincón - El Ejido	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTLWT
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.12.23	Arenas Armilla - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Malaga B - Arenas Armilla	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arenas Armilla - Maracena	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	El Ejido - Arenas Armilla	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Arenas Armilla - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Rincón - Arenas Armilla