Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 10

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Rio Branco de Americana		Guarani B

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	2.78	2.92	2.45
	2.8	3	2.41
	2.8	3	2.45
	3.17	3.08	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.27)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.33 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco de Americana
30.8%

Draw
30.1%

Guarani B
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco de Americana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Guarani B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani B than the current prediction. (+5%)

Rio Branco de Americana - Guarani B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Renan Tavares (Own goal),
35', 0 - 2, Leo Coltro ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Marcelo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Guarani B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rio Branco has had a series of away games.

Guarani B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Branco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Branco de Americana - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.08.25	Paulista - Rio Branco de Americana	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	São Bento - Rio Branco de Americana	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	EC Primavera - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
14.07.25	Guarani B - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTLL
- Guarani B
Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.08.25	Guarani B - São Bento	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Piracicaba - Guarani B	1:0 ✺
28.07.25	Guarani B - EC Primavera	0:3 ✺
19.07.25	Paulista - Guarani B	1:0 ✺
14.07.25	Guarani B - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
14.07.25	Guarani B - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0

Rio Branco de Americana - Guarani B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide