The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Claro 22.2%
Draw 28.8%
Piracicaba 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
28.2%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
26.9%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Rio Claro aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Rio Claro - Piracicaba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Matheus Carvalho ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Denilson ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Cesinha Belli ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 2, Serginho ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Crepaldi E. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Claro won 1.
Rio Claro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Piracicaba is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Piracicaba is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Rio Claro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:19 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Rio Claro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).