Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Rio Preto		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.94	3.2	3.7
	1.93	3.04	3.86
	1.95	3.28	3.71	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.24	3.79
	1.94	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.41)	3.18 ↑ (3.11)	3.69 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
46.9%

Draw
28.5%

EC São Bernardo
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Preto's performance.

EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São Bernardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Preto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São Bernardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Rio Preto - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rio Preto will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Rio Preto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EC São Bernardo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Preto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Preto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
02.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Preto	4:0 ✺
29.01.25	Rio Preto - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rio Preto - Catanduva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWTWW
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
02.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Catanduva - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	EC São Bernardo - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	EC São Bernardo - Francana	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rio Branco de Americana - EC São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
13.03.24	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	2:1

Rio Preto - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide