Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Rio Preto		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.48
	2.9	2.9	2.33
	2.93	3	2.4	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.45
	2.97	2.89	2.4
	2.9	2.9	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.12)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.4 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
31.2%

Draw
31.3%

Marília
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

29.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

28.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Preto - Marília Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rio Preto (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Preto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, de Oliveira Valerio V. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Douglas Lopes (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Rio Preto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marília is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rio Preto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rio Preto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Rio Preto - União São João	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Catanduva - Rio Preto	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rio Preto - Rio Branco de Americana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTTT
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.26	Marília - União Barbarense	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Itapirense - Marília	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Marília - Paulista	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Marília - Bandeirante	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	EC São Bernardo - Marília	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	Marília - Rio Preto	1:1
24.01.24	Rio Preto - Marília	0:0

Rio Preto - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide