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Current Win Probability
River Plate 2 57.1%
Draw 25%
Unión Santa Fe 2 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
26%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
24.3%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Unión Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
River Plate 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Rodriguez B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Aimar M. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Spiff J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Puebla N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
River Plate 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Unión Santa Fe 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, River Plate 2 is seen as the favorite.
We predict that River Plate 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
Including home match between the teams, River Plate 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.