Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Keskuskentta (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	RoPS		OLS

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.9	3.2
	1.78	3.75	3.40
	1.82	3.75	3.3
	1.91	4.05	3.52
	1.84	4.01	3.4	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.3
	1.81	3.8	3.52
	1.81	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	3.86 ↓ (4)	3.36 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoPS
49.5%

Draw
23.5%

OLS
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

22.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoPS than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

RoPS - OLS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Korhonen T. (G) 14. Cato R. 23. Heiserholt F. 8. Isometsa K. 4. Koistinen J. 13. Listo T. 77. McLeod S. 10. Mekki A. 2. Oinas A. 22. Savolainen A. 9. Suutari O.	64. Backman T. (G) 54. Aapajarvi A. 46. Ajoung M. 4. Ilola L. 40. Korhonen J. 36. Lotvonen J. 30. Makelainen J. 45. Merikanto E. 15. Parkkila O. 47. Raittinen E. 83. Teppo L.
Substitutes
19. Katermaa T. 28. Katermaa V. 29. Korhonen M. 30. Naumanen E. (G) 16. Niska J. 24. Sukuvaara W. 7. Vatanen V. 27. Wimmer O.	76. Arvola I. 26. Eghenolohor J. 57. Fyrsten M. (G) 51. Lamsa O. 44. Niemela O. 19. Omotayo J. 37. Piirto L. 38. Polvi J. 24. Thomas C. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Ajoung M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Koistinen J. ⚽,
29', Isometsa K. 🟨,
29', Ajoung M. 🟨,
35', Heiserholt F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Teppo L. ↓, Niemela O. ↑,
46', Parkkila O. ↓, Omotayo J. ↑,
59', Isometsa K. 🟨,
65', Makelainen J. ↓, Lamsa O. ↑,
69', Savolainen A. ↓, Vatanen V. ↑,
69', Listo T. ↓, Korhonen M. ↑,
79', Koistinen J. ↓, Katermaa V. ↑,
79', Aapajarvi A. ↓, Arvola I. ↑,
79', Merikanto E. ↓, Thomas C. S. ↑,
85', Heiserholt F. ↓, Katermaa T. ↑,
85', Mekki A. ↓, Niska J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Korhonen J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoPS won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, RoPS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, RoPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, RoPS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rovaniemi	25	12	8	5	52:37	15	44
4	OLS Oulu	25	11	8	6	50:37	13	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoPS
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.26	RoPS - VJS Vantaa	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tampere United - RoPS	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	OLS - RoPS	3:3 ✺
11.08.26	RoPS - KuPS Akatemia	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	RoPS - Jazz Pori	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTWT
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.26	OLS - Tampere United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Salon Palloilijat - OLS	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	OLS - RoPS	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Jazz Pori - OLS	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	OLS - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
15.08.26	OLS - RoPS	3:3
02.06.26	RoPS - OLS	1:1
07.07.25	OLS - RoPS	2:1
26.04.25	RoPS - OLS	4:1
05.10.24	RoPS - OLS	1:1
17.08.24	RoPS - OLS	0:1
03.06.24	OLS - RoPS	4:0

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