Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 8

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Rockdale Ilinden		Sydney United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.35	2.68	Watch
	2.53	3.45	2.65
	2.33	3.58	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.58	3.3	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.11)	3.36 ↓ (3.66)	2.65 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockdale Ilinden
37.7%

Draw
27.5%

Sydney United
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

25.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockdale Ilinden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rockdale Ilinden's form might have worsened.

Sydney United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rockdale Ilinden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 4.

Rockdale Ilinden is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sydney United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Sydney United has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:30. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rockdale Ilinden won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
21.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney Olympic	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	SD Raiders - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- Sydney United
Australian NPL NSW
22.03.26	Sydney United - Blacktown City	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sydney United - Sydney FC U23	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	SD Raiders - Sydney United	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Sydney United - Manly United	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sydney United - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
27.07.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	0:0
13.04.25	Sydney United - Rockdale Ilinden	1:3
31.08.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	3:1
14.07.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	4:0
07.04.24	Sydney United - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2
16.07.23	Sydney United - Rockdale Ilinden	3:3
02.04.23	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	3:1

Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide