Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Roda		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.6	2.9	2.1
	3.43	2.82	2.17
	3.43	2.82	2.18
	3.56	2.85	2.17
	3.6	2.9	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (4.13)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
25.8%

Draw
31.8%

Elche Ilicitano
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

31.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

31.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roda won 3.

Recent matches Roda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilicitano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Ilicitano is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Roda won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.12.23	Utiel - Roda	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Roda - Levante B	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Burriana - Roda	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Roda - Atzeneta	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Torrellano - Roda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLL
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.12.23	Elche Ilicitano - Rayo Ibense	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Silla - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Elche Ilicitano - Ontinyent 1931	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Villarreal C - Elche Ilicitano	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Utiel - Elche Ilicitano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.03.23	Roda - Elche Ilicitano	1:0
19.11.22	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	0:1
26.03.22	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	4:1
20.11.21	Roda - Elche Ilicitano	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.05.21	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
25.04.21	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	0:1
03.04.21	Roda - Elche Ilicitano	0:0

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