Match Info

Youth League - Round 24

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Sapsan Arena (Moscow)


	Rodina U19		Nizhny Novgorod U19

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.1	8.4
	1.14	6.1	10
	1.14	6	13.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.4)	6.07 ↑ (3.9)	10.53 ↑ (9.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 12%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina U19
77.1%

Draw
14.5%

Nizhny Novgorod U19
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

23.8%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

22.4%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina U19's performance.

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina U19 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod U19 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Magomedov M. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Fedorov M. (Penalty Awarded),
66', 2 - 1, Solovyov A. ⚽,
74', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th and 14th in the Youth League (Relegation)).

Rodina U19 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, Rodina U19 enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rodina U19 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Rodina Moscow U19	24	15	3	6	62:31	31	48
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	24	5	4	15	29:64	-35	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
11.09.26	Almaz-Antey U19 - Rodina U19	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Rodina U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	6:1 ✺
28.08.26	Spartak Moscow U19 - Rodina U19	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Rodina U19 - Dynamo Makhachkala U19	8:0 ✺
14.08.26	Rubin Kazan U19 - Rodina U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- FC Nizhny Novgorod U19
Russian Youth League
11.09.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Chertanovo U19	4:3 ✺
04.09.26	CSKA Moscow U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	5:1 ✺
28.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
07.05.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Rodina U19	0:0

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