Match Info

ITALY: PRIMAVERA 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Roma U19		Napoli U19

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.33	4.6	5.75
	1.39	5.15	6.91
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.31	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)	4.95 ↓ (5.07)	6.77 ↓ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma U19
68.1%

Draw
18.4%

Napoli U19
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

15.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Napoli U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma U19 than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli U19 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Roma U19 - Napoli U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Primavera 1 (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma U19 won 3.

Recent matches Roma U19 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napoli U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Roma U19 is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Roma U19 won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Roma U19 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma U19
Italian Primavera 1
26.02.23	Torino U19 - Roma U19	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Roma U19 - Atalanta U19	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Bologna U19 - Roma U19	3:2 ✺
10.02.23	Roma U19 - Cesena U19	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Sampdoria U19 - Roma U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLWL
- Napoli U19
Italian Primavera 1
25.02.23	Napoli U19 - Frosinone U19	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Sassuolo U19 - Napoli U19	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Cesena U19 - Napoli U19	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	Napoli U19 - Lecce U19	2:3 ✺
04.02.23	Inter U19 - Napoli U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Primavera
25.01.23	Roma U19 - Napoli U19	2:1
Italian Primavera 1
10.09.22	Napoli U19 - Roma U19	1:5
20.04.22	Roma U19 - Napoli U19	0:1
19.12.21	Napoli U19 - Roma U19	1:2
24.02.20	Roma U19 - Napoli U19	3:3
Coppa Italia Primavera
18.12.19	Roma U19 - Napoli U19	4:1
Italian Primavera 1
19.10.19	Napoli U19 - Roma U19	1:2

Roma U19 - Napoli U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide